Re: Accuracy of the NWS morning forecasts?

From: Pierre St. Hilaire (pierre@interval.com-DeleteThis)
Date: Fri Apr 04 1997 - 09:50:57 PST


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Date: Fri, 4 Apr 1997 10:50:57 -0700
To: wind_talk@opus.hpl.hp.com-DeleteThis
From: pierre@interval.com-DeleteThis (Pierre St. Hilaire)
Subject: Re: Accuracy of the NWS morning forecasts?


>What is the most accurate source for forecasts. I'm trying to
>determine when to bring my gear with me to work.
>

Bring it every day! There are so many days where the weather forecast is
lousy, but which turn out to have good wind.

Also, Mike Godsey's forecasts (CoTW or Windsight) have improved
considerably in accuracy over the past two seasons (better model?), and
seem at the present time to be more accurate than the NWS for windsurfing
purposes.

I have found that the presence of fog in the San Bruno gap in the early
afternoon is one of the better predictors of wind. This fog is usually
visible in Bay area satellite images available at
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/g9_images.cgi

A Web cam pointing towards the gap would be even better. Is there one that
points to that location?

                                        Pierre St Hilaire
                                        Interval Research Corp.



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